Research

Job Market Paper:

• Follow the Leader: The effect of high-quality peers on turnover decisions

This study shows that when high-quality workers resign, others are significantly more likely to quit and follow them to their new employers. Former peer ties also increase wages for new workers, and amplify wage sorting between high- and low-quality matches. The results highlight the pivotal role of peer quality in driving turnover, mobility, and assortative matching in the labor market.

Presented at:

• Portuguese Economic Journal Annual Meeting (forthcoming) - Aveiro, Portugal, 2026

• 9th Linked Employer-Employee Data Workshop (forthcoming) - Lisbon, Portugal, 2026

• RCEA International Conference in Economics, Econometrics, and Finance (forthcoming) - Madrid, Spain, 2026

• Econometrics Society Asian Winter Meeting - Abu Dhabi, UAE, 2026

• Econometrics Society European Winter Meeting - Nicosia, Cyprus, 2025

• Conference on Network Science in Economics - Palo Alto, USA, 2025

Works in Progress:

• Impact of AI on the Portuguese Labor Market

• Spillovers of minimum wage increases on other wages in the same firm

• Impact of peers on utility-decision making

Published:

• World Bank. (2022). Angola Country Climate and Development Report. Washington, DC, USA

• World Bank. (2022). Guinea-Bissau: Building Resilience for Vulnerable Populations. Washington, DC, USA

• Francisco, Marlon, et al. (2018). Inflation Dynamics in Sao Tome and Principe. Democratic Republic of Sao Tome and Principe – Selected Issues, IMF Country Report No. 18/322, pp 18-31, Washington, DC, USA

• Mills, Marshall, et al. (2016), Enhancing Resilience to Natural Disasters in Sub-Saharan Africa. Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa, October 2016, pp 61-85, Washington, DC, USA